Here's how you can bet until I figure out what I'm doing: You would obviously copy and paste the schedule to a message you send to me in a comment below, on facebook, or in e-mail, tgl4093@yahoo.com Write in your scores and next week we'll have the odds and such... or more likely we'll have an amazingly complicated new system that works better. This week if it's too late and you just want to tell me that I'm wrong, and out-pick me on the 4pm and later games...feel free. :) I look forward to not going 8-8 this week, but as long as I never have a losing week...I will avoid mocking! Love you All! Once we get enough people who want to tear our picks to shreds and want credit for being smart in their own right, the best predicter of each week will be given some sort of ridiculously amazingly fantastically fun recognition. And I will owe them 50 cents...per week in which they win! That's right, take me for 5 dollars by the end of the season, lets DO THIS!!!!
Sun. Oct. 03
Jets at Bills, 1:00 PM
Seahawks at Rams, 1:00 PM
Panthers at Saints, 1:00 PM
Lions at Packers, 1:00 PM
Bengals at Browns, 1:00 PM
Ravens at Steelers, 1:00 PM
Broncos at Titans, 1:00 PM
49ers at Falcons, 1:00 PM
Colts at Jaguars, 4:05 PM
Texans at Raiders, 4:05 PM
Redskins at Eagles, 4:15 PM
Cardinals at Chargers, 4:15 PM
Bears at Giants, 8:20 PM
Mon. Oct. 04
Patriots at Dolphins, 8:30 PM
Byes: DAL, KC, MIN, TB
BEST BET = The three games Troy guarantees to be right about 70% of the time in terms of both the winner and vs. the spread. Guaranteed. Record thus far. 6-3.
New York Jets @ Buffalo
I was going to open this week by making the boldest and perhaps silliest pick of all time, or all week! And that is this...The Jets offense is not as good as the Dolphins or Patriots defense made it out to be, and the Bills have already proven to much less inept with quarterback Ryan FitzPatrick (from Harvard). Not to mention the Bills play defense play tough at home and also against division foes. I learned my lesson from mocking the Bills last week. However, the Jets are a good team and the Bills are not. The Jets have decided to live up to a small portion of their pre-season hype and it's only going to continue. I think the Jets offense will be less than mediocre, but their defense will rip a young Buffalo O-line to pieces. Take the Jets, not the bet. Jets win by 4. 17-13.
Seattle @ St. Louis
After rooting and hoping and wishing and imagining better performances by an awful 49ers team, it's time to come back down to earth and back to reality. This game matters, and unlike you'd expect, not just to these two teams and cites. Whoever wins this game gains control of first place in a terrible NFC west. I am in shock over how well the Seahawks have performed but I loved their pick up of Leon Washington, who toasted the Chargers special teams last weekend, and the draft pick, Earl Thomas from Texas...who had the game ending interception. Pete Carroll does appear to be a good, enthusiastic, actually genuine NFL coach. The Rams beat the Redskins last week, but no one knows what that means for either team. If I'm picking the 'Skins to beat Philly, than I must think the Rams are decent. I want to pick those Rams and I'd expect the division leader to be 2-2 after this week but... The Seattle Seahawks decimate the St. Louis rams by a total final points score of 23-14. Make of it what you will.
Carolina @ New Orleans
I have nothing against New Orleans, in fact, I'd like to visit there someday, I just don't like how important the team itself thinks that it is. But if it makes the city feel good about itself for a few hours or a few days than I am in favor. People in Carolina expect to go to the game and see their team lose, it's about Clausen getting better at this point. The Panthers O-line has gotten worse and teams load up the box with 9 defenders in an effort to make sure the Panthers are Unable to run the ball. Steve Smith is the only one who can catch but even that becomes difficult with a safety on him at all times. The Saints win easily. Too easily. Being favored by 13 points is AN INSULT to the Saints. the Saints will win 44-17. BEST BET. I've decided I want to get 75% of these right, so here's the perfect week.
Detroit @ Green Bay
Detroit's offense is better than you think, Jahvid Best is so explosive that a backup QB like Shaun Hill can come in and do well. They can rush the passer, but Aaron Rodgers is so mobile and so smart in the pocket. The Lions offense isn't going to do much against Clay Matthews or Charles Woodson so forget my earlier complimentation. Green Bay is favored by 14. The Packers are great but it's risky to think the Lions are that bad. 30-10. Packers over Lions. Oops, guess not.
Cincinnatti @ Cleveland
Another game this week that almost everyone who picks games (and even those who do not) can agree upon. I thought the Browns might get off to the type of start that the chiefs actually got off to, the city was somewhat hopeful after the way the team finished last season (and with Holmgren's arrival). They barely lost to the Bucs, then went on to barely lose to the Chiefs. Almost beating two bad teams still means that they've lost 2 games they could've and perhaps should've won. I would love to be able to pick the Browns straight up, I like their defense a little, but how exactly do the Browns plan on scoring? I feel like that was deja vu, and the Bengals will continue to rack up wins in a less than impressive fashion against less than impressive teams the Cincinnatti Bengals defeat the Cleveland Browns 23-10.
Baltimore @ Pittsburgh
Here's the best game of the week possibly, while I'm stuck watching the Jets beat up on the poor Bills and the poor New York fans who live so far up north that they should re-establish themselves as part of New Hampshire. I thought the Steelers were due for a letdown and a loss last week against a bad Bucs team but then Charlie Batch became the next Tommy Maddux... or something. Batch's long TD passes took a lot of lucky routes, and lucky bounces. Mendenhall will not be rushing for the yards he would normally and the Steelers are not going 16-0... If they're already this good on defense, when Ben comes back they may look unstoppable in a few games. So they have to lose this one, it makes no sense for them not to. Especially when facing a soaped up Ray Lewis, and a stout Ravens defense. Flacco finally realized that Boldin was on his team last week and even though Boldin was the #1 target and shredding the D, he kept making reception. If housh and Derrick Mason ever show up, the Ravens might put up some points. Not to say that they'll put alot of points up on this defense. Ravens 20 - Steelers 13. WAIT! Since when is Pittsburgh favored? Screw that. Pick the Ravens regardless of Ray Rice's foot. BEST BET!
Denver @ Tennessee
The Broncos are careful and cautious. Tim Tebow is going to be the king of pine for the rest of the season. Their defensive secondary is good but they lack a pass rush or a linebacker that can tackle. The Broncos are so boring on offense, with no big time playmakers. The Titans are good, the Giants blew last week's game with turnovers but the Titans caused those turnovers. The Tennessee Titans Take This Tamed Tebow-less Team Triumphantly. The Titans over the Broncos 24-17 and Vince Young showing Tebow how to be a mobile QB in the NFL.
San Francisco @ Atlanta
Well. Since I've had some faith in the 49ers, not to be good, but to at least be the best of their weak division. I like the coach alot, Patrick Willis is a monster, Frank Gore used to be a Superstar running back and Alex Smith is 50% less awful. Let's fire the Offensive Coordinater and try harder. The Falcons fought hard last week to take first place and now here's where I look good in my opinion of both of these teams. The San Francisco Niners will clip the Falcon's wings (a pun that every sports expert predicting games has to use at least twice per season considering how many team names feature a type of bird.) Meanwhile, 27-23. Deja Vu all over again.
Indianapolis @ Jacksonville
The Colts will win. Sometimes even when your gut tells you that the Jaguars can somehow find a way to win this game, you know deep down, that Peyton Manning is the best regular season quarterback of all time, and he needs to win a division game on the road. The Colts do what they do in beating the Jags, 29-20.
Houston @ Oakland
The Texans are still great, I did not hop on this bandwagon at the beginning of the year only to hop off when a very talented, scared, and angry Cowboys team took it to them. One game means nothing, the Texans looked bad on offense and defense, and Andre Johnson's ankle was funky. The Cowboys needed to win and the Texans put in so much heart, determination and effort in coming back against a good Redskins defense the week before, that it was inevitable for the more popular Texas team to do what they had to do. The Raiders aren't the worst team ever with Jason Campbell, but they're not even a 7-9 team with Gradkowski... I'm not sure who that insults... Houston Texans 38-23. for some reason.
Washington at Philadelphia
Andy Reid knows all of Donovan Mcnabb's secrets, Mcnabb mentored and saved Michael Vick's life and/or career, Mcnabb was never appreciated by Philly fans the way Vick is already being appreciated. So many storylines, so much excitement, so much to think about and chew on. I love the way Vick has performed and if he continues to perform at this level, the Eagles are going to the playoffs. However, unlike most analysts, I don't think he'll start running the ball too often again, I think he'll start throwing the ball too hard again, and to the wrong team...again. The Redskins defense is still good, no matter how bad they've looked recently, and the Eagles defense still isn't. (Giving up 32 points to the Lions, and letting the Texans come back from a 17 point deficit in the second half) But if for no other reason than that I've decided karma exists and Mcnabb deserves a bit of revenge. The Washington Redskins will rise above the relevance of this game in both the standings and in judgement of these two great quarterbacks. The problem is that I would not have called Vick a great quarterback before last week. The 'Skins win 16-13 over the Eagles. BEST BET.
Arizona @ San diego
The Chargers are the most inconsistent team in the history of teams that revile in inconsistency, inconsistently. They were upset that Vincent Jackson and Marcus Mcneil continue to not get the money or the reasonable trade they deserve. Phillip Rivers is sick of not knowing where to go with the ball when Gates is covered. The special teams has been pathetic, and the linebacking corps feature Shaun Phillips and Shawne Merriman seems to get worse every year for some reason. Their secondary is great, Antoine Cason in particular, and forget Ryan Matthews running ability, turn him into LT. Rivers is a top 5 QB in the league on any given sunday and with all that said, the only thing that really needed to be said was this. The Cardinals are still one of the worst teams in the league. San Diego Chargers 28 - Arizona Cardinals 14
Chicago @ New York Giants
Wow, Have you seen Jay Cutler chuckin' that football lately? That dude can play, last year's interception ratio must've been an abberation. And all those years when he had all that potential, that amazing receiver Brandon Marshall, a solid running game and a good defense....all those seasons of losing were somehow not his fault. All those years of under-performing, all those interceptions each and every season don't matter. He's the next Brett Favre, he's a gun-slinger, it's just how he rolls. Now I know I'm going to be considered a homer, a loser, a fanatic and a moron by picking the G-men to take this game tonight...and I accept that criticism. But for everyone to think the Giants are done after two bad performances against two good teams...well, its time for the blue guys to prove you wrong. If the Bears win, I may in fact decide that the Giants really aren't any good, but I will STILL not believe in the Bears. Adding Julius Peppers to that defense covers up their weak secondary, an aging group of linebackers, a risk-taking Quarterback and a running back who is better as a receiver. Beyond the fact that although Cutler has been great and has withstood so much pressure the last few weeks, that offensive line is a real problem. It's this simple, the Giants can pass rush, the Bears can't stop a pass rush. And the Giants can throw the ball, if the receivers could handle Eli's hard throws, Eli would have only one interception (that left-handed play was brilliant, it just didn't work). The passing yards have been there, but with less mistakes in terms of turnovers and penalties, and against an inferior team in the NFC...New York Giants 24-14 over the Chicago Bears. And no kicks in the direction of Devin Hester.
New England @ Miami
This is the best, toughest, smartest, strongest, sexiest game of the week! I have struggled to decide what I want to decide about this game all week long. The Pats offense is great but is it as great as their defense is bad? I don't know, but I don't think Henne and Marshall have that chemistry quite yet. Tom Brady has been bad in Miami but that was when the Dolphins had a superb defense, now they merely have a very good defense. I want to pick the Dolphins because they shouldn't be underdogs, and too many experts are all of a sudden dismissing them and picking the Patriots. However, I'm the one who thought this Pats offense would look so much better, Welker needs to hurry up and heal, Tate needs to hold onto the ball, and Brady needs to stop thinking so much and just go out and do what he does. I don't think this game means the Dolphins will be out of it. But I was so high on the Dolphins, I think they're a wild card team, and that loss to the Jets, which I picked could ruin all that.... Anyway, what's going on, what am I talkin about, where am I? The New England Patriots will defeat the Miami dolphins, Final Score : 27-20
Here's expecting a 12-4 win/loss record, hoping for a 10-6 record, disregarding the eventual, inevitable 8-8 results. At least that would mean consistency. Go ahead, tell me how wrong I am now, let's verbally fight over irrelevant statistics and such. Let's all hope this upcoming week is full of way more fun and sun than this one, and pray that winter doesn't come to soon! Have a great sunday everyone, good luck in your fantasy leagues!!!!!!
- Troy Lightner (Trizz)
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